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Central bank independence and conservatism under uncertainty: Substitutes or complements?

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Philipps-Universität Marburg

Abstract

This paper revisits the trade-off between central bank indepen- dence and conservatism using a New Keynesian model with uncertainty about the central banker's output gap target. It is shown that when this uncertainty is high, the trade-off no longer holds. In this case, the optimal combination between independence and conservatism is characterised by complementarity.

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Central bank independence, Conservatism, Transparency of monetary policy.

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