Item type:Doctoral Thesis, Open Access

Hydrological Assessment of the Shatt Al-Arab River Basin

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Philipps-Universität Marburg

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Abstract

The population growth associated with anthropogenic activities in the Shatt Al-Arab River basin has induced various environmental effects in this trans-boundary basin. The analysis revealed that both seasonal and land use variabilities control the water quantity and quality in the basin. More specifically, low runoff in the dry season and urban and agricultural land use were associated with low water quality indicating that the region will be sensitive to both climate change and land use change. The sediment analysis indicated serious pollution in the river sediments, even though the pollution was not evenly distributed. The highest levels of heavy metals reported at the upper and middle reaches of the river were attributed to the higher industrial and urban development in these parts compared with the downstream reaches that are less industrialized/populated areas. Declining surface water in the Shatt Al- Arab basin has necessitated the use of groundwater in parallel with surface water to ensure the sustainability of resources in this water-scarce region. Remote sensing (RS) data and geographic information system (GIS) were used to identify groundwater potential zones. Nonetheless, the regions with prosperous groundwater potentials are not necessarily the same regions where water is needed the most (e.g., agricultural and urban areas). Moreover, significant amounts of the annual precipitation are in the form of high-intensity rainfall in this region. Such heavy rainfall causes flooding and/or ends up in the sea unutilized. Therefore, the present study created a runoff map to assist in better water resources management (e.g., rainwater harvesting projects can enhance groundwater potential and reduce flooding risk). The Soil Conservation Service (SCS) Curve Number (CN) model was used along with RS and GIS to estimate runoff. Furthermore, as erosion represents a serious problem that imposes severe global environmental impacts such as soil nutrient loss, land degradation, and flooding in this basin, erosion was estimated using the Revised Universal Soil Loss Equation (RUSLE). Nutrients (nitrogen N and phosphorus P) loss due to erosion has been estimated using the Soil and Water Assessment (SWAT) model. The analysis revealed that high N and P yields were correlated positively with cropland and urban land covers, and negatively with shrubland and bare land covers. Moreover, N and P yields exhibited a positive correlation with discharge and a negative correlation with subbasin area. Such correlations (i.e., between N and P yields with LULC, discharge, and subbasin area) were further tested using observed data from the Mississippi River basin in the United States and have proven their robustness. These correlations indicated that the basin is sensitive to both climate change and land use change, and provide an initial viewpoint of how to deal with these changes. Finally, the flood hazard map has been prepared using RS, GIS, and analytical hierarchy process method. Flood mapping showed that urban areas and agricultural areas are most vulnerable to floods, with around 60 and 30% of these areas are under intermediate to high flooding risk, respectively. Flood hazard mapping provided a preparatory risk evaluation that can be used by the local disaster management authorities.

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Allafta, Hadi Salim Aoubid: Hydrological Assessment of the Shatt Al-Arab River Basin. : Philipps-Universität Marburg 2026-01-12. DOI: https://doi.org/10.17192/z2025.0042.

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